Wednesday, August 13, 2008

VP Prediction

All the pundits keep on talking about Evan Bayh, Tim Kaine, and Kathleen Sebelius. Why? You may ask. Nobody really knows. Bayh is an unimpressive speaker with an unimpressive record who does not compliment Obama's manner of speech or prioritized policy positions. Tim Kaine has been a poor governor for the state of Virginia with his only memorable action having thus far been his inability to get a transportation bill passed. Kathleen Sebelius is a far more intriguing possibility, but she already has a slot speaking at the DNC (if they've already disclosed this, it seems that they would have done so in tandem with a VP announcement) and her record doesn't exactly go along with the Wednesday-night vice-presidential nomination theme. Which brings me to my prediction:

Wednesday night's theme at the DNC is "Securing America's Future". Wesley Clark's Political Action Committee's (WesPAC) motto is "Securing America's Future". Coincidence? No. Wesley Clark will be the Democratic Party's vice presidential nominee.

Some further pontification from Huffington Post's Judah Freed.

And just as a shot in the dark, I'm predicting this coming Monday, August 18th, say at 12pm EST, Obama will make this announcement.

For more commentary on this Clark character, check out www.obamaclark.com

Aside: I actually side with the folks at fivethirtyeight.com in my support for Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer as VP, but all the indications are pointing in the other direction. That said, I would be wholly content with Clark as the VP candidate.

Thursday, June 5, 2008

Change We Can Believe In.

When was the last time we had a candidate who walked the walk? Via Politico.com:

Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) is moving on two fronts to make transparency a linchpin of his campaign, opening his fundraisers to reporters and clamping down on the Democratic National Committee’s fundraising from Washington insiders...Beginning Thursday, the DNC will no longer accept checks from federal lobbyists or political action committees, mirroring the strict standard Obama adopted for his presidential campaign.


Contrast that to McBush's "reform" plans:

McCain's Lobbyist Friends

The winds of changes are a-howlin'...

Tuesday, May 6, 2008

Obama is Democratic Nominee for President

Yesterday, Obama beat Hillary Clinton by a proverbial landslide in North Carolina (14% points) and lost narrowly to her in Indiana (by 1.4% points). Although this only marginally enhances Obama's lead in the primary (his victory was already nearly assured, excepting the possibility of a coup by superdelegate), it effectively changed the mainstream media's narrative of the race from "horse-race" to "Obama inevitability". Sadly, this has become a determining factor when looking at the fight for the Democratic nomination. But regardless of how the country came to the conclusion that Obama is the nominee, it is now a practically unanimous sentiment - and finally, FINALLY, we can turn the page to the general election...



Monday, April 21, 2008

Wednesday, April 9, 2008

Another Potential Advantage to an Extended Primary

Chuck Todd, political scientist extraordinaire, had this to say today about McCain's path to victory. Although the title, "McCain's Path to Victory," implies that it is an article chalk-full of advice on how McCain can win the November election, it is more of a commentary on the challenges of not having a clear opponent and the difficulty of having to wait to define oneself as a candidate. The gist:

He will either be the steady hand in uncertain times vs. Obama, or he'll be the breath of fresh air and openness in a campaign against Clinton.

As someone said to NBC's David Gregory, McCain will take up the space left by the defeated Democrat.

From a message standpoint, those are big differences. It is not easy to advance both, now, at the same time. McCain is trying, but ultimately, being able to refine one line of attack is a must, and that can't happen without a clear opponent.


Whether Hillary is staying in for altruistic or selfish reasons, the possibility remains that it may all be for the better.

Wednesday, April 2, 2008

Clinton Staying in for the Good of the Party?

This is an interesting read from Katharine Seelye at the New York Times, opining that Clinton may be staying in the race to increase turnout and voter enthusiasm in the Democratic primary and to ultimately help Barack Obama become President of the United States of America.

Hmm.


Thousands of people are coming to her rallies now, and her campaign has organized events in post-Pennsylvania states where people are thrilled to be part of a process from which they are normally excluded.


Something not really focused on in the mainstream media:

It may not be apparent to the casual viewer of the news, but Mrs. Clinton is no longer dropping negative bombs on Mr. Obama. She has shifted her attacks, some of them quite trenchant, to President Bush and Senator John McCain, the presumed Republican nominee.


There has been some discussion in the blogosphere recently trying to spin Clinton's continued campaign as a positive thing for "big D" Democracy. But to suggest that this is the intention of the Clinton campaign is something wholly different.

Two Endorsements and A Poll

Despite the incredibly slow and uneventful six weeks between the Texas & Ohio and Pennsylvania primaries, we finally have some relatively big news today out of the presidential race:

1) Lee Hamilton Endorses Obama

Not only does this endorsement give Obama some momentum going into the Indiana primary on May 6th, it also boosts his foreign policy credentials. Hamilton is a former representative of Indiana's 9th district as well as the former co-chair of both the 9/11 Commission and the Iraq Study Group. In sum, he's big time. This is what he had to say about Obama's foreign policy:

"His foreign policy is pragmatic, visionary and tough," said Hamilton, former Democratic chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives committees on foreign affairs and intelligence.

"He will work with our friends and allies. He will strengthen our ability to use all tools of American power and relentlessly promote the American values of freedom and justice for all people."


2) Wyoming Gov. Dave Freudenthal endorses Obama

The Wyoming caucaus may have already passed, but this is still a big endorsement, both because Freudenthal is a superdelegate at a time in which every superdelegate vote counts and because he is a popular governor (won 70% of the vote in the 2006 election) in a state that is slowly shifting from red to blue.

3) New poll has Obama up in PA

This poll is a total shock, as the last time PPP did a poll two weeks ago, it had Obama down by 26 points. Kos questions its legitimacy. But damn!

Monday, March 31, 2008

The Brains Behind the Obama Campaign

Here's an interesting read for anyone curious to get some biographical info on the more prominent members of "Team Obama":

Obama's Inner Circle

The overarching theme of the article is that these guys (and gals) can't be completely compartmentalized into a particular political ideology. In other words, their views and visions for the future can't be designated as "liberal", "conservative", or "centrist". This is part of the Obama meme of looking beyond the politics of the past. A choice example is contained in the profile of immigration advisor Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar:


Like Obama, [Cuéllar] believes that comprehensive immigration reform must go beyond addressing border security and the status of the nation's 12 million illegal immigrants to confronting the current system's bureaucratic failings, providing job opportunities for American workers, promoting economic development in Latin America, and determining "how our immigration policy reflects our values and needs as Americans."


Also of note is Legal Affairs advisor Cass Sunstein, whose articles I read ad infinitum in my US Politics 101 class in college and who wrote this eloquent article about Obama in the Huffpost 4 weeks ago.

Friday, March 28, 2008

More Delicious Propaganda

From the Huffpost, a mashup video of Obama's "More Perfect Union" speech and Roger Waters' "Tide is Turning". Created by Bob Cesca:

Thursday, March 27, 2008

Faux News Poster Child Speaks Out Against Faux News

Yet another ostensible anti-Obama surrogate speaking out in defense of Obama (again, a little late on the newsbreak, but better late than never...):

Hillary's Poster Child = Anti-Hillary

This is a little dated (only by a week, but things move fast in the blogosphere), but a great add created by the girl in Hillary's ridiculous, fear-mongering add about which candidate you want answering the White House phone at 3am. As has been recently pointed out, if Hillary's too tired to get her facts straight about her trip to Bosnia in the middle of the day, it's scary to think about how she would react to a phone call under president-like fatigue and sleep deprivation at 3am:

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Dang.



Nothing substantive here, but Amen.

...And we're back.

Ok, it's been almost a year, but to my credit, the liberal blogs have turned around and become less critical of Obama. Many have even begun to vehemently support him. I've decided to start this blog back up because there's so much crap on the internet that you have to filter through to get the truth about Obama, it's important to have a central location to find it all. So here goes. I want to start off with a couple of good tidbits I discovered while perusing the internets the past couple of days. First, is this gem from the recommended diaries at Daily Kos:

Give Clinton a break!

Second is less funny but just as important in understanding the twisted nature of the mainstream media. I bring you Wright's most criticized speech by the major networks (in full, not just one random sentence taken out of context):

Wright's 9/11 speech

Simmer on those for awhile. Back atcha tomorrow.